We examine the impact of performance groups on the estimation of the relative importance of firm, industry and other effects on corporate performance. Performance groups comprise firms from the same industry with a similar performance over a longer period of time. We present a statistical method...

Consider estimating the mean of a normal distribution with known variance, when that mean is known to lie in a bounded interval. In a decision-theoretic framework we study finite sample properties of a class of nonlinear' estimators. These estimators are based on thresholding techniques which...

For the problem of model selection, full cross-validation has been proposed as alternative criterion to the traditional cross-validation, particularly in cases where the latter one is not well defined. To justify the use of the new proposal we show that under some conditions, both criteria share...

In regression analysis there is typically a large collection of competing models available from which we want to select an appropriate one. This paper is concerned with asymptotic properties of procedures for selecting linear models, which are based on certain data-dependent criteria such as...

Models are studied where the response Y and covariates X, T are assumed to fulfill E(Y

For over a decade, nonparametric modelling has been successfully applied to study nonlinear structures in financial time series. It is well known that the usual nonparametric models often have less than satisfactory performance when dealing with more than one lag. When the mean has an additive...

East-West migration in Germany peaked at the beginning of the 90s although the average wage gap between Eastern and Western Germany continues to average about 25%. We analyze the propensity to migrate using microdata from the German Socioeconomic Panel. Fitting a parametric Generalized Linear...

VaR models are related to statistical forecast systems. Within that framework different forecast tasks including Value-at-Risk and shortfall are discussed and motivated. A backtesting method based on the shortfall is developed and applied to VaR forecasts of areal portfolio. The analysis shows...

Statistics is considered to be a difficult science since it requires a variety of skills including handling of quantitative data, graphical insights as well as mathematical ability. Yet ever increasing special knowledge of statistics is demanded since data of increasing complexity and size need...