Showing 1 - 10 of 163
and downside risk. Evidence from major advanced markets markets markets markets supports the supports the notion that … notion that notion that downside risk measured by value value value-at -risk ( risk (VaRVaRVaR) has significant information … moments of risk for for predict redict ing stock returns. stock returns. stock returns. stock returns. The e The e vidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437764
. Based on these active risk factors, an adjustment for intertemporal dependency is made. The authors extend TEDAS methodology … to three gestalts differing in allocation weights’ determination: a Cornish-Fisher Value-at-Risk minimization, Markowitz …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349525
In this paper, we review the most common specifications of discrete-time stochastic volatility (SV) models and illustrate the major principles of corresponding Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) based statistical inference. We provide a hands-on ap proach which is easily implemented in empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003770817
This paper examines the preferred-habitat theory under time-varying risk aversion. The predicted positive relation … between the term spread and relative supply of longer-term debt is stronger when risk aversion is high. To capture this effect … predictions and indicate substantial time variation: under high risk aversion, yield spreads react about three times more strongly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010127819
A good description of the dynamics of interest rates is crucial to price derivatives and to hedge corresponding risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973636
Surveys of corporate risk management document that selective hedging, where managers incorporate their market views … strength to withstand the additional risk from market timing. We study the practice of selective hedging in a 10-year sample of … link between selective hedging and managerial compensation. -- Corporate risk management ; selective hedging ; speculation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009492396
A great proportion of stock dynamics can be explained using publicly available information. The relationship between dynamics and public information may be of nonlinear character. In this paper we offer an approach to stock picking by employing so-called decision trees and applying them to XETRA...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636039
aggregate risk aversion - is not supported by the data. -- Inflation expectations ; money illusion ; proxy hypothesis ; stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003727414
Recurrent Support Vector Regression for a Nonlinear ARMA Model with Applications to Forecasting Financial Returns Abstract: Motivated by the recurrent Neural Networks, this paper proposes a recurrent Support Vector Regression (SVR) procedure to forecast nonlinear ARMA model based simulated data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003770766
Many of the concepts in theoretical and empirical finance developed over the past decades – including the classical portfolio theory, the Black-Scholes-Merton option pricing model or the RiskMetrics variance-covariance approach to VaR – rest upon the assumption that asset returns follow a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008663369