Using a microbased superpopulation approach some aspects of optimal prediction of aggregated AR(1) processes are studied.

Analysts using data from official statistical authorities often neglect the fact that data frequently are collected using sample surveys. In this paper the impact of sampling error on the estimation of the autocovariance and the autocorrelation function is studied under a micro based...

Analysts using data from official statistical authorities often neglect the fact that data frequently is collected using sample surveys. We study the impact of sampling error on the estimation of the autocorrelation function for a population total under a microbased superpopulation time series...

In Cassel and Lundquist (1990) the existence of sampling bias in estimating autocorrelation functions was discussed under a superpopulation model. One restriction of that model was that the time series model should not exhibit trend. In this paper we relax that restriction. The bias of a...

Using a microbased superpopulation approach (see Cassel and Lundquist (1991), (1990))the question of optimal predictors of a population total of AR(1) series is analysed. Only a sample of the individual timeseries in the population is observed. From the sample the population total is predicted....

Financial return series of sufficiently high frequency display stylized facts such as volatility clustering, high kurtosis, low starting and slow-decaying autocorrelation function of squared returns and the so-called Taylor effect. In order to evaluate the capacity of volatility models to...

The question of minimizing the bias due to the survey sampling error when estimating the autocorrelation function of aggregated AR(1) processes is studied.

We consider HJM type models for the term structure of futures prices, where the volatility is allowed to be an arbitrary smooth functional of the present futures privce curve. Using a Lie algebraic approach we investigate when the infinite dimensional futures price process can be realized by a...

It has been argued that having a contract market before the spot market enhances competition (Allaz and Vila, 1993). Taking into account the repeated nature of electricity markets, we check the robustness of the argument that the access to contract markets reduces the market power of generators....

We propose a reduced form model for default that allows us to derive closed-form solutions to all the key ingredients in credit risk modeling: risk-free bond prices, defaultable bond prices (with and without stochastic recovery) and probabilities of survival. We show that all these quantities...