Showing 1 - 10 of 138
This paper contains a forecasting exercise on 30 time series, ranging on several fields, from economy to ecology. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281250
This paper contains a forecasting exercise on 30 time series, ranging on several fields, from economy to ecology. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005190861
In this paper fluctuations in prices of Swedish exports to five countries are investigated in order to test whether there are systematic differences between prices to different markets and whether relative export prices are systematically affected by macroeconomic conditions in destination...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423800
The Swedish export price determination for automobiles and kraft paper to three destination countries, over the period 1980-1994, is investigated. Formal tests on an error correction model indicate results consistent with price discrimination in Swedish exports of both goods. The exporters use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005649427
Swedish import price determination is investigated using disaggregated monthly data from 1980:1 to 1995:05 for eight different industries. The cointegration analysis indicates two cointegrating relations, in all industries, between import prices, the exchange rate, world market prices and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005651519
We propose a seasonal cointegration model [SECM] for quarterly data which includes variables with different numbers of unit roots and thus needs to be transformed in different ways in order to yield stationarity. A Monte Carlo simulation is carried out to investigate the consequences of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281215
forecasting study. We include both single equation and multiple equation methods. A VAR model in first differences with and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005649206
We propose a seasonal cointegration model [SECM] for quarterly data which includes variables with different numbers of unit roots and thus needs to be transformed in different ways in order to yield stationarity. A Monte Carlo simulation is carried out to investigate the consequences of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005649231
In Bayesian analysis of VAR-models, and especially in forecasting applications, the Minnesota prior of Litterman is … report on the forecasting performance of the different prior distributions considered in the paper. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005649366
-dimensional macroeconomic data set. Results show that the seasonal cointegration model improves forecasting accuracy, compared with the standard … by Johansen and Schaumburg seems to work better than the original model presented by Lee (1992). An empirical forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005190852