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On the 30th of August, Governing Council of the ECB decided to lower the key interest rates by 25 basis points. May be this decision was the only available in view of the evolution of core inflation in Europe, but for reasons made clear below, it is not going to ease the fiscal debate in Europe....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010760250
L'appréciation de l’euro depuis le début de la présente décennie, après sa baisse en 1999 et 2000, et l’incertitude sur son évolution future, obscurcissent aujourd’hui l’horizon de la croissance européenne. Mais si l’on observe l’évolution passée de l’euro, reconstituée...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010760264
In 2003 Chancellor Schroeder launched an ambitious structural reform package (Agenda 2010), that simultaneously reformed the pension system and the labour market (following the proposition of the Hartz commission report, of August 2002). This program reinforced a trend already visible since the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010760265
Parce qu’un projet économique est toujours fondé sur une doctrine d’essence politique, le hiatus entre intégration économique et projet politique n’existe que pour autant que le second demeure implicite. L’Europe économique est donc politique au premier chef et c’est pour cette...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010760266
Assessing the ECB’s performance is unusually difficult because both the Bank and the context within which it operates - the integration of 12 national foreign exchange markets - are so radically new. There is no historical precedent. Nor are there any criteria against which to judge monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010760269
The large (and increasing) output gap that characterizes the euro area suggests that aggregate demand can physically be boosted. Only fiscal policy could fulfil this task though, being monetary policy at the limit, and structural reforms linked to long term growth. The usual arguments against...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010760270
The euro area, after a poor growth performance in 2002, has stepped aside in 2003 the word economic recovery. Concurrently, as was easily predictable since its inception, all the flaws of the SGP emerged once the European economy started to loose speed. Compared to the strongly proactive fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010760272
With respects to my last briefing paper (november 2000), the economic outlook for the euro zone has evolved, but in a direction and in extent which remain uncertain. The fashionable world is “resilient”. Most forecasting institutes expect the euro area to be relatively resilient, with growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010760273
The phenomena of globalisation is happening in a world populated by nation States, without any emptiness in between the Nations. What is the function of a Nation state if not to protect its population ? More than ever the Nation States of the world are well and alive – the hyper power of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010760279
Si la France désormais européenne compte maîtriser son avenir, si elle veut restaurer sa puissance -c'est-à-dire sa capacité à assumer les préférences collectives de ses citoyens dans un monde qui tend à les altérer- elle doit commencer par revenir à la laïcité économique. Or, le...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010760289