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Can the macroeconomic effects of credit supply shocks be large even when a small share of firms are credit-constrained? I use U.K. firm-level accounting data to discipline a heterogeneous-firm model in which the interaction between real and financial frictions induces precautionary cash...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012137584
Keynesian model. Relative to Representative Agent (RANK) models, our framework introduces a precautionary-savings channel, as … households in both countries face uninsurable income risk, and a real-income channel, as households have heterogeneous marginal … propensities to consume (MPC). While both channels amplify the size of spillovers/spillbacks, only precautionary savings can change …
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We study general equilibrium asset prices in a multi-period endowment economy when agents' risk aversion is allowed to … depend on the maturity of the risk. We find horizon-dependent riskaversion preferences generate a decreasing term structure … of risk premia if and only if volatility is stochastic. Our model can thus justify the recent empirical results on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010439624
This paper examines point and density forecasts from the European Central Bank's Survey of Professional Forecasters. We derive individual uncertainty measures along with individual point- and density-based measures of disagreement. We also explore the relationship between uncertainty and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604042
We revisit in this note the macroeconomic impact of the recent rise in trade policy uncertainty. As in the literature, we do find that high trade policy uncertainty can adversely impact domestic and foreign economic activity. In addition, we identify an alternative business sentiment channel...
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