Purpose – One of the anxieties of stock market investors is whether the markets operate efficiently, independently and with sound fundamentals. This concern is also held by academics and practitioners for quite some time. However, real market situation tends to exhibit a link as is evident...

Purpose – The main objective of this study is to obtain new empirical evidence on non-synchronous trading effects through modelling the predictability of market indices. Design/methodology/approach -The authors test for lead-lag effects between the Indian Nifty and Nifty Junior indices using...

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to investigate the efficiency of the emerging stock markets in the Middle Eastern countries. Design/methodology/approach – The paper investigates the validity of the random walk hypothesis (RWH) and tests for calendar effects in five major Middle...

Purpose – This paper aims to investigate the main motivations for Italian insiders to trade relevant stakes of their companies, specifically assuming that most transactions are driven by speculative intents. According to an information asymmetry hypothesis, insiders, having a superior...

Purpose – To investigate the performance of moving average trading rules in an emerging market context, namely that of the Jordanian stock market. Design/methodology/approach – The conditional returns on buy or sell signals from actual data are examined for a range of trading rules. These...

Purpose – This paper's aim is to test for the presence of fractional integration, or long memory, in the daily returns of the Portuguese stock market using autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (ARFIMA), generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) and...

Purpose – There are several studies that investigate evidence for mean reversion in stock prices. However, there is no consensus as to whether stock prices are mean reverting or random walk (unit root) processes. The goal of this paper is to re‐examine mean reversion in stock prices....

Purpose – In this paper, the aim is to investigate the tail behavior of daily stock returns for three emerging stock in the Gulf region (Bahrain, Oman, and Saudi Arabia) over the period 1998‐2005. In addition, the aim is also to test whether the distributions are similar across these...

Purpose – The purpose of this study is to examine the pertinence of combining the positioning along the US presidential election cycle and the inversions of the yield curve as a guide for a market timing strategy on the S&P 500. These variables provide warning signals for either an abnormally...

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationships between stock market returns of 13 countries based upon monthly data spanning December 1987 to April 2007. Design/methodology/approach – Specifically, the principal component (PC) and maximum likelihood (ML) methods are...