We develop and test a robust procedure for extracting an underlying signal in form of a time-varying trend from very noisy time series. The application we have in mind is online monitoring data measured in intensive care, where we find periods of relative constancy, slow monotonic trends, level...

We examine the hypothesis of an increase of humus disintegration by analyzing chemical substances measured in the seepage water of a German forest. Problems arise because of a large percentage of missing observations. We use a regression model with spatial and temporal effects constructed in an...

We discuss filtering procedures for robust extraction of a signal from noisy time series. Moving averages and running medians are standard methods for this, but they have shortcomings when large spikes (outliers) respectively trends occur. Modified trimmed means and linear median hybrid filters...

We discuss moving window techniques for fast extraction of a signal comprising monotonic trends and abrupt shifts from a noisy time series with irrelevant spikes. Running medians remove spikes and preserve shifts, but they deteriorate in trend periods. Modified trimmed mean filters use a robust...

In intensive care, time series of vital parameters have to be analysed online, i.e. without any time delay, since there may be serious consequences for the patient otherwise. Such time series show trends, slope changes and sudden level shifts, and they are overlaid by strong noise and many...

We discuss the robust estimation of a linear trend if the noise follows an autoregressive process of first order. We find the ordinary repeated median to perform well except for negative correlations. In this case it can be improved by a Prais-Winsten transformation using a robust...

We propose weighted repeated median filters and smoothers for robust non-parametric regression in general and for robust signal extraction from time series in particular. The proposed methods allow to remove outlying sequences and to preserve discontinuities (shifts) in the underlying regression...

We analyze multivariate binary time series using a mixed parameterization in terms of the conditional expectations given the past and the pairwise canonical interactions among contemporaneous variables. This allows consistent inference on the influence of past variables even if the...

Current alarm systems on intensive care units create a very high rate of false positive alarms because most of them simply compare the physiological measurements to fixed thresholds. An improvement can be expected when the actual measurements are replaced by smoothed estimates of the underlying...

Robustified rank tests, applying a robust scale estimator, are investigated for reliable and fast shift detection in time series. The tests show good power for sufficiently large shifts, low false detection rates for Gaussian noise and high robustness against outliers. Wilcoxon scores in...