We provide a method for distinguishing long-range dependence from deterministic trends such as structural breaks. The method is based on the comparison of standard log-periodogram regression estimation of the memory parameter with its tapered counterpart. The difference of these estimators...

We show that small trends do not influence log-periodogram based estimators for the memory parameter in a stationary invertible long-memory process. In the case of slowly decaying trends which are easily confused with long-range dependence we show by Monte Carlo methods that the tapered...

This paper analyses a class of nonlinear time series models exhibiting long memory. These processes exhibit short memory fluctuations around a local mean (regime) which switches randomly such that the durations of the regimes follow a power law. We show that if a large number of independent...

We derive the limiting null distribution of the robust CUSUM-M test and the recursive CUSUM-M test for structural change of the coefficients of a linear regression model with long-memory disturbances. It turns out that the asymptotic null distribution of the CUSUM-M statistic is a fractional...

We derive the limiting null distributions of the standard and OLS based CUSUM-tests for structural change of the coecients of a linear regression model in the context of long memory disturbances. We show that both tests behave fundamentally different in a long memory environment, as compared to...

Prediction in time series models with a trend requires reliable estimation of the trend function at the right end of the observed series. Local polynomial smoothing is a suitable tool because boundary corrections are included implicitly. However, outliers may lead to unreliable estimates, if...

We investigate the behavior of nonparametric kernel M-estimators in the presence of long-memory errors. The optimal bandwidth and a central limit theorem are obtained. It turns out that in the Gaussian case all kernel M-estimators have the same limiting normal distribution. The motivation behind...