The issue of fiscal imbalance has become central to the current economic debate. A diagnostic Brazilian fiscal problem emphasizes that the rise in primary expenditure stems from "structural" factors, due to the growth of social security spending and social programs, resulting from the 1988...

The mapping of frequency rates of events is an important tool for guiding public policy. Nevertheless, this problem has not received adequate attention by most researchers. In many studies, the used ratios have serious problems when the geographic units have a small population at risk and when...

There is a lot of debate about the fiscal impact of the National Treasury loans to BNDES. Given that the interest rates of the loans are mostly indexed to TJLP, there is, in principle, a fiscal cost equal to the difference between TJLP and the market rates of Treasury debt. However, this...

This paper examines whether fiscal illusion can help to explain the behavior of federal government expenditures in Brazil during period 1990-2011. The analyses is based on a median voter model that admits that the degree of tax visibility may affect the individual's perception of his tax burden...

The purpose of the article is to assess how much the Multi-Year Plan (MYP) has managed to fulfill its constitutional mission to guide allocative decisions through the budget process. To this end, it discusses the functions of government planning, its relationship with public finances, to present...

The objective of this paper is to analyze the role of fiscal policy in the determinants of the sovereign spreads of a group of 23 emerging market countries in the period 1995-2008 focusing on two matters: i) fiscal policy sustainability, known as the accumulation of primary budget surplus, that...

Technological progress enables the simplification of procedures in all areas of knowledge, science, technology and innovation and in this context it is necessary to modernize the National Tax System, the responsibility of the Federal Government has an obligation to present Brazilian society a...

This paper estimates the primary structural balance and the fiscal impulse for the Brazilian public administrations from 1997 to 2010. We performed two adjustments: i) initially, one-off measures (including those resulting from creative accounting) were identified; and, ii) after this correction,...

This paper studies the determination of the surpluses of the Brazilian central government. For quarterly data from 1996 through 2011, the empirical strategy included: i) structural break models and nonlinear estimates on the level of public debt, to handle the inertia after 1999, for high levels...