Goetzmann, William N; Jorion, Philippe - In: The Journal of Business 68 (1995) 4, pp. 483-508
This article reexamines the evidence on the ability of dividend yields to predict long-horizon stock returns. The authors use two new series beginning in 1871, a monthly series for the United States, and an annual series for the United Kingdom. Conditional on survival over the entire 122 years,...