Showing 1 - 10 of 130
We propose and axiomatically characterize dynamically consistent update rules for decision making under ambiguity … of preferences over acts, to be able to reconcile typical behavior in the face of ambiguity (as exemplified by Ellsberg …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011599390
We propose and axiomatically characterize dynamically consistent update rules for decision making under ambiguity … of preferences over acts, to be able to reconcile typical behavior in the face of ambiguity (as exemplified by Ellsberg …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005812751
utility functions, where concavity is an expression of ambiguity aversion and/or risk aversion. This paper extends the … analysis to α-maxmin expected utility, Choquet expected utility, and Cumulative Prospect Theory, which accommodate ambiguity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014537001
A buyer makes an offer to a privately informed seller for a good of uncertain quality. Quality determines both the seller's valuation and the buyer's valuation, and the buyer evaluates each contract according to its worst-case performance over a set of probability distributions. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012010024
We introduce a model of random ambiguity aversion. Choice is stochastic due to unobserved shocks to both information … and ambiguity aversion. This is modeled as a random set of beliefs in the maxmin expected utility model of Gilboa and … Schmeidler (1989). We characterize the model and show that the distribution of ambiguity aversion can be uniquely identified …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013189043
unique distribution. In this paper we study the optimal auction problem allowing for ambiguity about the distribution of … valuations. Agents may be ambiguity averse (modeled using the maxmin expected utility model of Gilboa and Schmeidler 1989.) When … the bidders face more ambiguity than the seller we show that (i) given any auction, the seller can always (weakly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011599377
The paper considers an agent who must choose an action today under uncertainty about the consequence of any chosen action but without having in mind a complete list of all the contingencies that could influence outcomes. She conceives of some relevant (subjective) contingencies but she is aware...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011599392
The de Finetti Theorem is a cornerstone of the Bayesian approach. Bernardo (1996) writes that its "message is very clear: if a sequence of observations is judged to be exchangeable, then any subset of them must be regarded as a random sample from some model, and there exists a prior distribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011599431
This paper analyzes dynamic choice for ambiguity-sensitive decision makers. It demonstrates that unambiguous behavioral … sophisticated MEU preferences are then used to analyze the value of information under ambiguity; a basic trade-off between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011599450
In this paper, we establish an axiomatically founded generalized recursive smooth ambiguity model that allows for a … separation among intertemporal substitution, risk aversion, and ambiguity aversion. We axiomatize this model using two approaches … Seo (2009). We characterize risk attitude and ambiguity attitude within these two approaches. We then discuss our model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011599451