We consider model based inference in a fractionally cointegrated (or cofractional) vector autoregressive model based on the conditional Gaussian likelihood. The model allows the process X(t) to be fractional of order d and cofractional of order d-b; that is, there exist vectors β for which...

An extended and improved theory is presented for marked and weighted empirical processes of residuals of time series regressions. The theory is motivated by 1-step Huber-skip estimators, where a set of good observations are selected using an initial estimator and an updated estimator is found by...

We study the stability of the estimated statistical relation of global mean temperature and global mean sea-level with regard to data revisions. Using three different model specifications proposed in the literature, we compare coefficient estimates and forecasts using two different vintages of...