This paper extends the literature on the information content of financial variables with respect to future economic growth. It shows that variables originating from both the equity market and the bond market in Switzerland are useful indicators for forecasting the Swiss business cycle. In...

This paper derives fundemental arbitrage pricing results in finite dimensions in a simple unified framework using Tucker's theorem of the alternative. Frictionless results plus those with dividends, periodic interest payments, transaction costs, different interest rates for lending and...

This paper examines the effects of uncertainty and the choice of financial structure in a vertically differentiated duopoly. In the market model consumers are located along a continuum of taste parameters and prefer unanimously higher to lower qualities when quality prices are set at average...

Due to their underlying assumptions, the standard concepts of risk aversion and preference for the present are generally defined separately and represented by scalar measures, and this implies many shortcomings. More specifically, if measured by a scalar, the risk aversion remains unchanged,...

Asset process driven by non-normal Lévy processes have become popular in the last few years. To be mentioned are models, where the asset processes are pure Lévy processes. Such models date back the work of Mandelbrot (1967). But also more complex models as for example stochastic volatility...

We test leverage predictions of the trade-off and pecking order models usingSwiss data. At an aggregate level, leverage of Swiss firms is comparativelylow, but the results depend crucially on the exact definition of leverage.Confirming the pecking order model but contradicting the trade-off...

This paper shows that a stock market is evolutionary stable if andonly if stocks are evaluated by expected relative dividends. Any othermarket can be invaded by portfolio rules that will gain market wealthand hence change the valuation. In the model the valuation of assetsis given by the wealth...

The challenge of international term structure models is to simultaneously account for the properties of interest rate term structures and foreign exchange rates within an arbitrage-free framework. We extend the quadratic term structure models proposed in Leippold and Wu (2002) to multiple...

In this paper we discuss the implementation of general one-factor short rate models with a trinomial tree. Taking the Hull-White model as a starting point, our contribution is threefold. First, we show how trees can be spanned using a set of general branching processes. Secondly, we improve...

We develop a continuous time general equilibrium model for the term structure of interest rates where economic agents are averse to model uncertainty and consider the possibility of a misspecified dynamic model for the latent risk factors driving interest rates. Aversion to model uncertainty is...