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Real-time consideration of systematic patterns in Maltese GDP data and revisions
Debono, Nathaniel - 2024
paper show that the real-time consideration of these forecasts has the potential to improve the precision with which past … forecasts is also aptly demonstrated through the use of simulation techniques, density functions, and event probability … forecasts. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014461449
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Longevity studies based on kernel hazard estimation
Felipe, Angie; Guillén, Montserrat; Nielsen, Jens Perch - 2000
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001493540
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On the use of spectral value decomposition for the construction of composite indices
Farnia, Luca - 2019
High dimensional composite index makes experts' preferences in setting weights a hard task. In the literature, one of the approaches to derive weights from a data set is Principal Component or Factor Analysis that, although conceptually different, they are similar in results when FA is based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011999119
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Business cycle detrending of macroeconomic data via a latent business cycle index
Dueker, Michael (contributor);  … - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource], rev
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001974447
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Business cycle phases in U.S. states
Owyang, Michael T. (contributor);  … - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource], rev
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001979872
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Die Mautstatistik : keine "Wunderwaffe" für die Konjunkturanalyse
Döhrn, Roland - In: Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 91 (2011) 12, pp. 863-868
Die seit der Einführung der Lkw-Maut geführte Mautstatistik wird als Konjunkturindikator diskutiert. Die Daten müssten für eine Konjunkturprognose gute Dienste leisten, weil sie kurzfristig zu ermitteln sind und einen offensichtlichen Zusammenhang mit der Konjunktur haben. Der Vergleich mit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009672677
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Die Mautstatistik : keine "Wunderwaffe" für die Konjunkturanalyse
Döhrn, Roland - In: Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 91 (2011) 12, pp. 863-868
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009406642
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Evaluating combined non-replicable forecasts
Chang, Chia-Lin; Franses, Philip Hans; McAleer, Michael - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008760499
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Forecasting low frequency macroeconomic events with high frequency data
Galvão, Ana Beatriz C.; Owyang, Michael T. - 2020
High-frequency financial and economic activity indicators are usually time aggregated before forecasts of low …-frequency probability forecasts (including their confidence bands) for these low-frequency events. The new approach is compared with single … Condition Index (NFCI) is supplementary to economic activity for one-year-ahead forecasts of contractions, and (iii) a weekly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012308083