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how a country stays in the eurozone, or on how it leaves if need be. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011545300
Classical contributions in international macroeconomics rely on goods-market mechanisms to reconcile the cyclicality of real exchange rates when financial markets are incomplete. However, cross-border trade in one domestic and one foreign-currency-denominated risk-free asset prohibits these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014474481
-the-job search is a key component in explaining labor market dynamics in models of equilibrium unemployment. The model predicts … fluctuations of unemployment, vacancies, and labor productivity whose relative magnitudes replicate the data. A standard search and … firms?incentives to post new jobs. Labor market tightness as measured by the vacancy-unemployment ratio is as volatile as in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293492
business cycle. Second, a shock that moves the land price is capable of generating large volatility in unemployment. Our … estimation indicates that a 10 percent drop in the land price leads to a 0.34 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate … facts observed in the data. First, the land price and the unemployment rate tend to move in opposite directions over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397671
choices matter for output volatility and the medium-term level of inflation. Greater monetary independence is associated with … lower output volatility while greater exchange rate stability implies greater output volatility, which can be mitigated if a … inflation rate. We find that trilemma policy configurations affect output volatility through the investment or trade channel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010331079
Identifying business cycle stylised facts is essential as these often form the basis for the construction and validation of theoretical business cycle models. Furthermore, understanding the cyclical patterns in economic activity, and their causes, is important to the decisions of both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280739
We suggest a new method to analyze the success of firm creation by looking at the persistence of new jobs created in old and in new firms. Compared to survival rates of new versus old firms, this measure has the advantage that the sustainability of job creation in different circumstances is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294908
This paper conducts an empirical analysis of the heterogeneity of recessions in monthly U.S. coincident and leading indicator variables. Univariate Markovswitching models indicate that it is appropriate to allow for two distinct recession regimes, corresponding with 'mild' and 'severe'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500207
Since the adoption of flexible exchange rates, real exchange rates have been much more volatile than they were under Bretton Woods. However, the volatilities of most other macroeconomic variables have remained approximately unchanged. This poses a puzzle for standard international business cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013369970
became unprofitable when liquidity risk and exchange rate volatility increased after 2007. The analysis suggests that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010308140