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market, and the ability of microstructure models based on order flow to outperform a naive random walk benchmark. If order … economy gradually, then order flow can have both explanatory and forecasting power for exchange rates. Using one year of high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143667
Using the longest data set on FX order flow to date, along with the broadest coverage of currencies to date, we examine the effect of FX order flow on exchange rates across small and large currencies, currencies with floating or fixed regimes, and across both tranquil and turbulent periods. Over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143789
We presents evidence that non-financial customers are the main liquidity providers in the overnight foreign exchange market using a unique daily data set covering almost all transactions in the SEK/EUR market over almost ten years. Two main findings support this: (i) The net position of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143627
What is the role of "large players" like hedge funds and other highly leveraged institutions in speculative attacks? In recent theoretical work, large players may induce an attack by an early move, providing information to smaller agents. In contrast, many observers argue that large players are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143649
This paper contributes to the microstructure approach to exchange rates in two ways. Using a unique dataset that covers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285344
relative to previous microstructure models. First, dealers may decide to hold overnight positions in the FX market if they .nd …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322735
Using the trilemma indexes developed by Aizenman et al. (2010) that measure the extent of achievement in each of the three policy goals in the trilemma - monetary independence, exchange rate stability, and financial openness - we examine how policy configurations affect macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010331079
Micro-level empirical research has begun to obtain important results on the effects of currency variations on firms' survival. To date, the literature has lacked detailed analysis of the effects of exchange rates on firms' survival behavior in emerging markets due to a scarcity of firm level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500272
This paper analyzes how monetary policy responds to exchange rate movements in open economies, paying particular attention to the two-way interaction between monetary policy and exchange rate movements. We address this issue using a structural VAR model that is identified using a combination of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143695
Dornbusch's exchange rate overshooting hypothesis is a central building block in international macroeconomics. Yet, empirical studies of monetary policy have typically found exchange rate effects that are inconsistent with overshooting. This puzzling result has been viewed by some researchers as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143714