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This paper presents a comprehensive examination of the determination and evolution of inflation expectations, with a … focus on emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). The results suggest that long-term inflation expectations in …. Indeed, in EMDEs, long-term inflation expectations are more sensitive to both domestic and global inflation shocks. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060221
Developing country inflation is in the headlines again. Mainstream macroeconomics typically ignores the role of … monetary sources of inflation in the presence of real wage resistance and distributional conflict. The analysis shows that the … relatively small shock leads to sustained and accelerating inflation and a wage-price spiral, thanks to conflicting claims on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480539
linking interest rates to forecasts of future inflation. Such rules have been found to give rise to aggregate fluctuations due … properties of interest-rate rules whereby the central bank responds to a measure of past inflation. The consensus view that has … inflation are likely to ensure global stability provided that the coefficient on lagged interest rates is greater than unity. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263206
adamant about preventing a rise in inflation? The large fiscal imbalance brings about inflationary pressures, triggering a … spiral of higher inflation, output contraction, and further debt accumulation. A coordinated commitment to inflate away the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030336
to support the standard objection to such policies: that they will lead to uncontrollable inflation. Theoretical models … support for a relationship between monetary financing and inflation. The findings lend support to recent calls for explicit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011545308
It is commonly asserted that inflation is a jump variable in the New Keynesian Phillips curve, and thus wage …-price inertia does not imply inflation inertia. We show that this "inflation flexibility proposition" is highly misleading, relying … affect inflation, but are also influenced by it) the phenomenon of inflation inertia re-emerges. Under plausible parameter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281028
" - although they generate price inertia, they cannot account for the stylised fact of inflation persistence. It is thus commonly … asserted that, in the context of the new Phillips curve (NPC), inflation is a jump variable. We argue that this "persistency … equilibrium setting (in which real variables not only affect inflation, but are also influenced by it), standard wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281029
We model capital flows among Chinese provinces using a theory-based variance decomposition that allows us to gauge the importance of various channels of external adjustments at the regional level: variation in intertemporal prices-domestic and international interest rates and the real exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011282500
Over 2010-2016, municipal debt in Germany crowded out private investment worth 1 percent of GDP. Forced to lend to municipalities by their statutes, local public banks compensated for declining municipal-debt yields by charging higher rates to firms in Germany's locally segmented credit markets....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468196
This paper presents a stock-flow-consistent model in which growth is led by exports and government expenditure. It considers domestic and external debt dynamics and gross capital flows. Countries may choose to not fully use their external space to accumulate international reserves. The model is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502583