Showing 1 - 10 of 562
In this paper, two tests for structural hypotheses on cointegration vectors are evaluated in a Monte Carlo study. The … cointegration vector, but the Johansen (1991) test fares slightly better than the Kwiatkowski et al (1992) test. Applying a Bartlett …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208469
In the current paper, the finite-sample stability of various implementations of the KPSS test is studied. The implementations considered differ in how the so-called long-run variance is estimated under the null hypothesis. More specifically, the effects that the choice of kernel, the value of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208507
When dealing with time series that are integrated of order one, the concept of cointegration becomes crucial for the … misspecified. This paper investigates the small sample performance of four well-known cointegration tests when a system has been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321641
We apply Diebold-Yilmaz spillover index methodology to monthly industrial production indices to study business cycle interdependence among G-6 industrialized countries since 1958. The business cycle spillover index fluctuates substantially over time, increasing especially after the 1973-75,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277269
We consider consistent tests for stochastic dominance efficiency at any order of a given portfolio with respect to all possible portfolios constructed from a set of assets. We justify block bootstrap approaches to achieve valid inference in a time series setting. The test statistics are computed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858776
We propose a class of new robust GMM tests for endogenous structural breaks. The tests are based on supremum and average statistics derived from robust GMM estimators with a bounded influence function. They imply a bounded linearized asymptotic bias of size and power under local model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858906
A large literature studies the predictability of stock returns by other lagged nancialvariables in a predictive regression setting. A common feature of widely used testingprocedures is a failing robustness, which may lead to misleading conclusions determinedby the particular features of a small...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009248833
Time series evidence on exchange rates has been unable to reject the random walk hypothesis. A simple structural model that accounts for target zone nonlinearities provides conclusive evidence of mean reversion in EMS exchange rates.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334286
The law of the tendential fall in the rate of profit has been at the center of theoretical and empirical debates within Marxian political economy ever since the publication of Volume III of Capital. An important limitation of this literature is the absence of a comprehensive econometric analysis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287890
Most work in the area of nonlinear econometric modelling is based on a single equation and assumes exogeneity of the explanatory variables. Recently, work by Caner and Hansen (2003) and Psaradakis, Sola, and Spagnolo (2004) has considered the possibility of estimating nonlinear models by methods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284096