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Correlations of inflation with the growth rate of money increase when data are averaged over longer time periods …. Correlations of inflation with the growth of money also are higher when high-inflation as well as low-inflation countries are … included in the analysis. We show that serial correlation in the underlying inflation rate ties these two observations together …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292328
financed by money creation and to destabilizing expectations dynamics that can occasionally divorce inflation from fundamentals …. Our maximum likelihood estimates allow us to interpret observed inflation rates in terms of variations in the deficits … that cut inflation without reforming deficits. Our estimates also allow us to infer the deficit adjustments that seem to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292362
This paper examines the long-run effects of supply shocks (such as oil shocks) on inflation in the United States. The … persistence of supply shocks in U.S. inflation fell considerably during the period of Volcker's disinflation (1979-1982). My … the behavior of inflation expectations-agents expected shocks to persist in the pre-Volcker period, but not in the post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293489
Using frequency domain techniques to separate short and long run dynamics and decomposing inflation into its common and … idiosyncratic components, we study the regime dependence of the inflation-RPV relation in Argentina and the USA. Under High … inflation, strong long-run comovement between RPV and Inflation is found for both economies, that extends to the short run …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325092
We use an agent-based computational approach to show how inflation can worsen macroeconomic performance by disrupting … the mechanism of exchange in a decentralized market economy. We find that increasing the trend rate of inflation above 3 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284044
Professional Forecasters to calculate time series ofrisk premia. It is shown that survey data on inflation and output growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005868921
fraction of price changes increases with inflation. In addition, in the presence of strategic complementarities, they predict …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015189257
, consistent with the evidence, increases with inflation. Because we assume that firms sell multiple products and choose how many … inflation accelerator-a feedback loop between inflation and the fraction of price changes-that significantly increases the slope … of the Phillips curve during periods of high inflation. Applied to the U.S. time series, our model predicts that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015189310
macroeconomic surprises. Leveraging exogenous variations in inflation and industrial production (IP) surprises around Office for … National Statistics releases, we estimate gilt yield responsiveness to inflation and real activity, revealing how markets … expect the BoE to react to macroeconomic changes. Markets generally understand the UK flexible inflation-targeting regime …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015209817
explicitly on Euro-zone inflation forecastswill diminish problems associated with the large number of country … target inflation - essentially theCzech Republic, Hungary, and Poland - should maintain this monetary policy strategy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858144