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an approach to model spot prices that combines mean-reversion, spikes and stochastic volatility. Thereby we use different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305714
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807534
growth rate and volatility of commodity spot prices. This view gained credence because in the 2000s trading volume increased …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030340
Recently a market in options based on CPI inflation (inflation caps and floors) has emerged in the US. This paper uses quotes on these derivatives to construct probability densities for inflation. We study how these pdfs respond to news announcements, and find that the implied odds of deflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397781
This paper applies the Model Confidence Set (MCS) procedure of Hansen, Lunde, and Nason (2003) to a set of volatility …. The empirical exercise is based on 55 volatility models and the MCS includes about a third of these when evaluated by mean …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318935
Market expectations of future return volatility play a crucial role in finance; so too does our understanding of the … informativeness of volatility forecasts produced by ARCH models versus the volatility forecasts derived from option prices and in … improving volatility forecasts produced by ARCH and option models and combinations of models. Daily and monthly data are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397639
seasonal pattern for the conditional volatility for the Swedish stock market has been found. The daily turnover in the Swedish … stock market has an impact on and eliminates to some extent seasonal patterns in conditional volatility. The daily turnover … correlated. We can also conclude that a feedback from the US stock market to the conditional volatility in the Swedish market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321733
This paper attempts to address both theoretical and practical considerations for a tax such as financial transactions taxes (FTT). It includes examples of FTT in the wider context, for example, on stocks and derivatives, currency transactions, and tangible property. Most of the discussion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807660
market in India. The paper, inter alia, seeks to prove the point that the Indian OTC derivatives markets, unlike many other … valid in India. A good reporting system and a post-trade clearing and settlement system, through a centralised counter party … markets permitted in India, interest rate swaps and foreign currency forwards are the two prominent markets. However, by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807654
autoregression, we derive return and volatility spillover indices over the rolling sub-sample windows. We show that there is … substantial difference between the behavior of the East Asian return and volatility spillover indices over time. While the return … spillover index reveals increased integration among the East Asian equity markets, the volatility spillover index experiences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277265