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A micro decision-making utility model under uncertainty is presented as a complementary foundation for macro coronavirus models. The micro model consists of two functions, a risk averse utility function depending on wellness and a wellness random output which is a function of the input variable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013269247
We seek an evolutionary explanation for why in some situations humans maintain either optimistic or pessimistic attitudes towards uncertainty and are ignorant to relevant aspects of their environment. Players in strategic games face Knightian uncertainty about opponents' actions and maximize...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012655881
The α-MEU model and the smooth ambiguity model are two popular models in decision making under ambiguity. However, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012670885
ambiguity averse relation. First, we define two notions of more ambiguous with respect to such a class. A more ambiguous (I) act … makes an ambiguity averse decision maker (DM) worse off but does not affect the welfare of an ambiguity neutral DM. A more … ambiguous (II) act adversely affects a more ambiguity averse DM more, as measured by the compensation they require to switch …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011927995
between the set of relevant measures, shown by KMS [21] to reflect only perceived ambiguity, and the set of measures (which we … perceived ambiguity. Regarding symmetry assumptions, we show that, under relatively mild conditions, a variety of preference … stringent. Only when it is satisfied may the Bewley set be interpreted as reflecting only perceived ambiguity and not also taste …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011927996
We propose the Virtual Bingo Blower (VBB) as a way to generate credible risk and ambiguity in computerized experiments …, we measure ambiguity attitudes and vary the source of ambiguity, using either the VBB or natural events. We find that the … VBB and natural events result in a similar degree of ambiguity aversion. Further, we find that, by manipulating the number …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015130148
This paper argues that observations of non-stationary choice behavior need notnecessarily imply specific properties of the individual’s discount function. As weshow, the observed “anomalies” in intertemporal choice can alternatively be explained by an individual’s perception of the risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858206
Transitivity is perhaps the most fundamental choice axiom and, therefore, almost all economic models assume that preferences are transitive. The empirical literature has regularly documented violations of transitivity, but these violations pose little problem as long as they are simply a result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013531822
Do experimental subjects have consistent first and higher-order beliefs about others? How does any inconsistency affect strategic decisions? We introduce a simple four-player sequential social dilemma where actions reveal first and higher-order beliefs. The unique sub-game perfect Nash...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014474495
We study the value of and the demand for instrumentally-valuable information in a simple decision environment where signals are transparently polarized. We find that in both information aggregation and acquisition, subjects use sophisticated heuristics to counter the polarization in signals....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014474501