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Markowitz and Sharpe won the Nobel Prize in Economics more than a decade ago for the development of Mean-Variance analysis and the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). In the year 2002, Kahneman won the Nobel Prize in Economics for the development of Prospect Theory. Can these two apparently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858578
Under the assumption of normally distributed returns, we analyzewhether the Cumulative Prospect Theory of Tversky and Kahneman (1992)is consistent with the Capital Asset Pricing Model. We find that in everyfinancial market equilibrium the Security Market Line Theorem holds.However, under the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858756
A correlated equilibrium for a normal form game is a mediator whose recommendations the players find optimal to follow obediently. A (direct) correlation device or a mediator however may face the multiple equilibrium problem as the obedient strategy profile may be dominated by some other Nash...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333084
In this paper, we consider an investor who plays in a market that involves a risky asset whose instantaneous rate of return changes at unknown random times. This return rate is assumed to follow the law of a Compound Poisson Process. We construct optimal mathematical strategies in this context...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858585
In this paper we discuss the implementation of general one-factor short rate models with a trinomial tree. Taking the Hull-White model as a starting point, our contribution is threefold. First, we show how trees can be spanned using a set of general branching processes. Secondly, we improve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858854
A random variable is difference-form decomposable (DFD) if it may be written as the difference of two i.i.d. random terms. We show that densities of such variables exhibit a remarkable degree of structure. Specifically, a DFD density can be neither approximately uniform, nor quasiconvex, nor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278201
A random variable is difference-form decomposable (DFD) if it may be written as the difference of two i.i.d. random terms. We show that densities of such variables exhibit a remarkable degree of structure. Specifically, a DFD density can be neither approximately uniform, nor quasiconvex, nor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014417649
The standard approach to modelling consumption/saving problems is to assume that the decisionmaker is solving a dynamic stochastic optimization problem However under realistic descriptions of utility and uncertainty the optimal consumption/saving decision is so difficult that only recently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293482
This paper introduces a method for solving numerical dynamic stochastic optimization problems that avoids rootfinding operations. The idea is applicable to many microeconomic and macroeconomic problems, including life cycle, buffer-stock, and stochastic growth problems. Software is provided.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293486
Economists working with numerical solutions to the optimal consumption/saving problem under uncertainty have long known that there are quantitatively important interactions between liquidity constraints and precautionary saving behavior This paper provides the analytical basis for those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293505