Showing 1 - 10 of 421
Correlations of inflation with the growth rate of money increase when data are averaged over longer time periods …. Correlations of inflation with the growth of money also are higher when high-inflation as well as low-inflation countries are … included in the analysis. We show that serial correlation in the underlying inflation rate ties these two observations together …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292328
This paper examines the long-run effects of supply shocks (such as oil shocks) on inflation in the United States. The … persistence of supply shocks in U.S. inflation fell considerably during the period of Volcker's disinflation (1979-1982). My … the behavior of inflation expectations-agents expected shocks to persist in the pre-Volcker period, but not in the post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293489
Using frequency domain techniques to separate short and long run dynamics and decomposing inflation into its common and … idiosyncratic components, we study the regime dependence of the inflation-RPV relation in Argentina and the USA. Under High … inflation, strong long-run comovement between RPV and Inflation is found for both economies, that extends to the short run …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325092
We use an agent-based computational approach to show how inflation can worsen macroeconomic performance by disrupting … the mechanism of exchange in a decentralized market economy. We find that increasing the trend rate of inflation above 3 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284044
fraction of price changes increases with inflation. In addition, in the presence of strategic complementarities, they predict …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015189257
, consistent with the evidence, increases with inflation. Because we assume that firms sell multiple products and choose how many … inflation accelerator-a feedback loop between inflation and the fraction of price changes-that significantly increases the slope … of the Phillips curve during periods of high inflation. Applied to the U.S. time series, our model predicts that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015189310
looking pricing account for the observed persistence in aggregate inflation. Second, price-setting responds to movements in … marginal costs, which should therefore be the driving force to observed inflation dynamics. This is not always the case in … conditions under which imposing homogeneity results in overestimating a backward-looking component in (aggregate) inflation, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858242
future inflation in Germany. Based on a multivariate term structure framework, a vector error forecasting equation for … inflation forecasts of up to two years is constructed. The results of the alternative error correction reveal that the level of … the shortterm interest rates conveys much more information on future inflation than the yield curve spreads. In particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013373850
Global inflation has risen sharply from its lows in mid-2020, on rebounding global demand, supply bottlenecks, and … soaring food and energy prices, especially since the Russian Federation's invasion of Ukraine. Markets expect inflation to … developments, the risk of stagflation-a combination of high inflation and sluggish growth-has risen. The recovery from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013373857