The COVID-19 pandemic has caused a major global health crisis, the onset of which, and containment policies for, have also led to a global economic crisis. The effects of the pandemic on the economies of various countries depended on their position in the international economic hierarchy, and...

We estimate a time-varying parameter vector autoregression to examine the evolution of international spillovers of U.S. monetary policy in light of increasing globalization in real and financial markets. We find that the adverse international effects of a U.S. tightening have substantially...

What is the relationship between international trade and business cycle synchronization? Using data from OECD countries, I find that trade in intermediate inputs plays a significant role in synchronizing GDP fluctuations across countries while trade in final goods is found insignificant....

Debt in emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) is at its highest level in half a century. In about nine out of 10 EMDEs, debt is higher now than it was in 2010 and, in half of the EMDEs, debt is more than 30 percentage points of gross domestic product higher. Historically, elevated...

In this contribution, we review the research on the variety of macroeconomic demand and growth regimes in finance-dominated capitalism, on the regime shifts in the course of and after the 2007-09 crises, the drivers of these shifts and on the emerging stagnation tendencies. Results of this...

This paper develops two Sraffian supermultiplier models of two different kinds of economies that are dependent upon foreign direct investment (FDI): the "export platform FDI-led" growth model and the "tax haven FDI-led" growth model. The former is driven by the growth of the exports of...

This paper examines the emergence of private debt-led growth in Canada since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) by means of a growth regimes and macroeconomic policy regime assessment. Examining each of the four business cycles in the 1983-2020 period, roughly encompassing the entirety of the...

Eine lange Periode niedriger Zinsen und wachsender Zentralbankbilanzen hat nicht nur mehr Staatsausgaben, sondern auch hohe Vermögens- und schließlich Konsumentenpreisinflation nach sich gezogen. Gleichzeitig sind eine dichtere Regulierung, wachsende Tendenzen zu Deglobalisierung und...

In addition to the severe health crisis, the Covid-19 pandemic provoked one of the deepest socioeconomic crises in the history of capitalism. Yet, the economic structure of each country and the strength of the welfare state, along with the ability of the diverse governments to cope with the...

We develop a structural framework to identify the sources of cross-state heterogeneity in response to US tariff changes. We quantify the effects of unilaterally increasing US tariffs by 25 percentage points across sectors. Welfare changes range from −0.8 percent in Oregon to 2.1 percent in...