Showing 1 - 10 of 225
-term inflation, long-term inflation, unemployment, and short-term interest rates - improves performance along a variety of dimensions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343335
earnings losses for young workers generated by unemployment: unemployment represents time forgone in terms of human capital … downturn, as documented in the empirical literature. At the aggregate level, the framework delivers youth unemployment rates … that are higher and more sensitive to fluctuations in aggregate productivity than total unemployment rates. Additionally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445087
The non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) is not directly observable and the presence of informal … informality seems to predict inflationary pressures more accurately when the unemployment gap is close to zero. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616402
The past forty years or so has seen a remarkable transformation in macro-models used by central banks, policymakers and forecasting bodies. This papers describes this transformation from reduced-form behavioural equations estimated separately, through to contemporary micro-founded dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008461989
Whenever unemployment stays high for an extended period, it is common to see analyses, statements, and rebuttals about … the extent to which the high unemployment is structural, not cyclical. This essay views the Beveridge curve pattern of … unemployment and vacancy rates and the related matching function as proxies for the functioning of the labor market and explores …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343343
Wage indexation practices have changed. Evidence on the U.S. for instance suggests that wages were heavily indexed to past inflation during the Great Inflation but not during the Great Moderation. However, most DSGE models assume fixed indexation parameters in wage setting, which might not be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010392379
Labor productivity (LP) in the United States has gone from being procyclical to acyclical since the mid-1980s. Using industry-level data, this paper first shows that total factor productivity (TFP), which is LP net of capital deepening, has also become much less correlated with output as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010507638
an expected long period of unemployment make a job more valuable during recessions. I estimate the elasticity of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057073
response of inflation to an increase in unemployment slower in the region where unemployment is already high. Nonlinearities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012059585
We document the evolution of labor markets of five Latin American countries during the COVID-19 pandemic, with emphasis on informal employment. We show, for most countries, a slump in aggregate employment, mirrored by a fall in labor participation, and a decline in the informality rate. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013162027