This paper examines an agent's choice of forecast method within a standard asset pricing model. To make a conditional forecast, a representative agent may choose one of the following: (1) a rational (or fundamentals-based) forecast that employs knowledge of the stochastic process governing...

This paper investigates the comovements of stocks and bonds at the individual firm level. Based on a sample of 702 corporate bonds, individual stock returns and bond yield changes are found to be negatively correlated, suggesting that the comovements of individual stocks and bonds are largely...

This paper compares the ability of four discount rate models to explain the cross-sectional and time-series variation of stock returns in the U.S., Japan, England, Germany, and Canada. The data consist of quarterly returns (in dollars) on Morgan Stanley's Capital International indices for the...

We use share price data to calculate bank asset volatilities, market capital-asset ratios, and the public-sector depositor protection liability for Australia. The results show that the average capital ratio for the Australian banking sector has risen over the past decade, while the riskiness of...