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structural changes and outliers. In both single-equation tests and panel tests with SUR techniques, the data reject the unit …-root null for the CEE countries. Accounting for structural breaks and outliers gives much faster mean-reversion speeds than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005651623
This paper examines power issues for the ADF and four break models (Perron 1989, Zivot and Andrews 1992) when the DGP corresponds to one of the break models. Choosing to test an incorrect break model can but need not greatly reduce the probability of rejecting the null. Break points that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011019111
If the researcher tests each model in a battery at the a % significance level, the probability that at least one test rejects is generally larger than a %. For five unit-root models, this paper uses Monte Carlo simulation and the inclusion-exclusion principle to show for a %=5% for each test,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011019120
The paper addresses the concept of multicointegration in panel data frame- work. The proposal builds upon the panel data cointegration procedures developed in Pedroni (2004), for which we compute the moments of the parametric statistics. When individuals are either cross-section independent or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005120759
Some unit root testing situations are more difficult than others. In the case of quarterly industrial production there is not only the seasonal variation that needs to be considered but also the occasionally breaking linear trend. In the current paper we take this as our starting point to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998802
This Phillips-Ouliaris (1988) non-parametric unit root test for non seasonal data and the seasonal one of Joyeux (1992) are based in the estimation of the spectral density function in a fixed frequency. We can get consistent estimations of the spectrum using spectral windows, but such procedure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005022344
Empirical studies have shown little evidence to support the presence of all unit roots present in the filter in quarterly seasonal time series. This paper analyses the performance of the Hylleberg, Engle, Granger and Yoo (1990) (HEGY) procedure when the roots under the null are not all present....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005022352
Several unit root tests in panel data have recently been proposed. The test developed by Harris and Tzavalis (1999 JoE) performs particularly well when the time dimension is moderate in relation to the cross-section dimension. However, in common with the traditional tests designed for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005022359
The lack of suitable critical values for the Dickey-Fuller integrability test in finite-samples can drive researchers to spurious conclusions when using asymptotic critical values. In this paper we estimate response surfaces for the Dickey-Fuller unit root test with structural breaks that allow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005022390
This paper proposes a test statistic for the null hypothesis of panel stationarity that allows for the presence of multiple structural breaks. Two different specications are considered depending on the structural breaks affecting the individual effects and/or the time trend. The model is exible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005022398