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The main contribution of this work is to provide a dynamic general equilibrium model of asset allocation, allowing to reconcile economic theory with several puzzling contradictions recently pointed out in the literature: (i) the asset allocation puzzle, (ii) the observed time-variation in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858061
We analyse questions of arbitrage in financial markets in which asset prices change in time as stationary stochastic processes. The main focus of the paper is on a model where the price vectors are independent and identically distributed. In the framework of this model, we find conditions that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857775
We study the European Union's Emission Trading System (EU ETS) from a financial perspective. Using ARMA-eGARCH filtered volatilities, we first discuss the evolution of the volatility of EU ETS allowances' returns from 2008 to 2021. Second, we study the degree of co-movement and interdependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361266
We suggest an alternative approach to testing whether stocks provide a hedge against inflation in the long run. Based on a simple structural model, we test the hedge hypothesis in terms of the long-run linkage between stock prices and the general price level, as estimated by cointegration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012142229
-year premium is predictable in the sense that the model explains a non-trivial proportion of the variability of the equity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012142246
Considered here is on-line portfolio management aimed at maximizing the long-run growth of financial wealth. The portfolio is repeatedly rebalanced in response to observed returns on diverse assets. Suppose statistical information and related methods are not available - or deemed too diffcult....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857758
The paper shows that financial market equilibria need not exist if agents possess cumulative prospect theory preferences with piecewise-power value functions. The reason is an infiniteshort-selling problem. But even when a short-sell constraint is added, non-existence can occur due to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857777
Control problems with Recursive Multiple-Priors Utility (RMPU) are highly non-linear so that RMPU asset prices have been studied in very simple exchange economies only. We identify a continuous-time exchange equilibrium with Locally-Constrained-Entropy RMPU (LCE-RMPU) that is tractable even in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858066
We model the learning process of market traders during the unprecedented COVID-19 event. We introduce a behavioral heterogeneous agents' model with bounded rationality by including a correction mechanism through representativeness (Gennaioli et al., 2015). To inspect the market crash induced by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012654147
This paper estimates the importance of temptation (Gul and Pesendorfer, 2001) for consumption smoothing and asset accumulation in a structural life-cycle model. We use two complementary estimation strategies: first, we estimate the Euler equation of this model; and second we match liquid and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012253295