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This study explores the benefits of incorporating fat-tailed innovations, asymmetric volatility response, and an … extended information set into crude oil return modeling and forecasting. To this end, we utilize standard volatility models … Stochastic Volatility (SV), along with Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) regressions, which enable us to incorporate the impacts of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014252427
This paper studies the information content of the S&P 500 and VIX markets on the volatility of the S&P 500 returns. We … risk-neutral distributions as well as the term structure of volatility smiles and of variance risk premia. We find that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410916
electrification of global economies. However, their markets are characterized by high price volatility due to supply concentration …, low substitutability, and limited price elasticity. This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the price volatility … visualization methods, we identify key features for accurate point and density forecasts. We evaluate various volatility models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015190309
Although the properties of the ARCH(∞) model are well investigated, the existence of long memory FIGARCH and IARCH solution was not established in the literature. These two popular ARCH type models which are widely used in applied literature, were causing theoretical controversy because of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405303
The presence of long memory in Realized Volatility (RV) is a widespread stylized fact. The origins of long memory in RV …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011964976
Stock and bond are the two most crucial assets for portfolio allocation and risk management. This study proposes generalized autoregressive score mixed frequency data sampling (GAS MIDAS) copula models to analyze the dynamic dependence between stock returns and bond returns. A GAS MIDAS copula...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012668024
We study the impact of oil price shocks on US stock market volatility. We derive three different structural oil shock … variables (i.e. aggregate demand, oil-supply, and oil-demand shocks) and relate them to stock market volatility, using bivariate … structural VAR models, one for each oil price shock. Identification is achieved by assuming that the price of crude oil reacts to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010476423
We study the effects of crude oil price shocks on the stock market volatility of the G7 economies. We rely on a … oil demand innovations have on financial volatility. We show that stock market volatility does not respond to oil supply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011438638
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