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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011671557
This paper assesses that participation of countries in IMF programs significantly diminishes their vulnerability to external shocks. Currently, one of the primary purposes of the IMF is to ensure global stability. As such, the Fund has the responsibility of advising member countries on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011447050
shock proxies on the estimated impulse responses from these SVAR models. We show via a Monte Carlo experiment that … uncertainty shock proxy as an instrument to identify the underlying shock does not suffer from this bias. Applying this proxy SVAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009784657
shock has remained fairly stable. Simulations from a non-linear DSGE model suggest that these empirical results are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472799
Financial markets are central to the transmission of uncertainty shocks. This paper documents a new aspect of the interaction between the two by showing that uncertainty shocks have radically different macroeconomic implications depending on the state financial markets are in when they occur....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472852
instruments is effective in recovering the underlying shock. In contrast, identification based on recursive schemes and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484833
We study the impact of oil price shocks on US stock market volatility. We derive three different structural oil shock … structural VAR models, one for each oil price shock. Identification is achieved by assuming that the price of crude oil reacts to … stock market volatility only with delay. This implies that innovations to the price of crude oil are not strictly exogenous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010476423
This paper uses a FAVAR model with stochastic volatility to estimate the impact of uncertainty shocks on real income growth in US states. The results suggest that there is a large degree of heterogeneity in the magnitude and the persistence of the response to uncertainty shocks across states....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011448758
following the slump points to the accommodation of the shock by the ECB, concurrent with the implementation of the Quantitative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451685
oil demand innovations have on financial volatility. We show that stock market volatility does not respond to oil supply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011438638