Unemployment, firm Dynamics, and the Business CyclTime variation is a fundamental problem in statistical and econometric analysis of macroeconomic and financial data. Recently there has been considerable focus on developing econometric modelling that enables stochastic structural change in model...

This paper examines optimal portfolio selection using quantile-based risk measures such as Valueat-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). We address the case of a singular covariance matrix of asset returns, which leads to an optimization problem with infinitely many solutions. An...

We estimate dynamic conditional correlations between 10 commodities futures returns in energy, metals and agriculture markets over the period 1998-2014 with a DCC-GARCH model. We look at the factors influencing those correlations, adopting a pooled mean group (PMG) estimator. Macroeconomic...