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. Among our findings, we show that, in the absence of renewable energy sources and break-through technologies, meeting the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014342101
comparisons across regions. Thanks to the theoretical structure of the model, which considers energy as an explicit input factor …, we examine macroeconomic and energy indicators across regions. We find that a general slow down in economic growth is … framework showing the costs of delaying the energy transition. Our figures relies on fossil-fuel inputs and exogenous energy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014583649
Putting a price on carbon - with taxes or developing carbon markets - is a widely used policy measure to achieve the target of net-zero emissions by 2050. This paper tackles the issue of producing point, direction-of-change, and density forecasts for the monthly real price of carbon within the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014470036
Unemployment, firm Dynamics, and the Business CyclTime variation is a fundamental problem in statistical and econometric analysis of macroeconomic and financial data. Recently there has been considerable focus on developing econometric modelling that enables stochastic structural change in model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012316010
This paper uses Bayesian techniques and Maltese data over the period 2001-2019 to estimate the parameters of MEDSEA-FIN, one of the Central Bank of Malta's DSGE models. The model captures linkages between the housing sector, banks and the rest of the economy via a borrowing collateral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013382147
This paper presents new results on the identification of heteroskedastic structural vector autoregressive (HSVAR) models. Point identification of HSVAR models fails when some shifts in the variances of the structural shocks are suspected to be statistically indistinguishable from each other....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014556642
This paper presents a credit gap for Malta derived from a semi-structural multivariate filter. This modelling approach has several advantages over univariate approaches typically used, for example to construct the Basel gap. The multivariate filtering of observed data into trends and cycles is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014633582
This paper assesses that participation of countries in IMF programs significantly diminishes their vulnerability to external shocks. Currently, one of the primary purposes of the IMF is to ensure global stability. As such, the Fund has the responsibility of advising member countries on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011447050
We propose a new algorithm which allows easy estimation of Vector Autoregressions (VARs) featuring asymmetric priors and time varying volatilities, even when the cross sectional dimension of the system N is particularly large. The algorithm is based on a simple triangularisation which allows to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389735
In 2016 the Central Bank of Argentina began to announce inflation targets. In this context, providing authorities with good estimates of relevant macroeconomic variables is crucial for making pertinent corrections in order to reach the desired policy goals. This paper develops a group of models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011882797