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Climate change and economic growth prospects for Malawi : an uncertainty approach

Arndt, Channing; Schlosser, Adam; Strzepek, Kenneth M.; … - 2014

trends. We evaluate the implications of climate change for overall growth and development prospects to 2050. We focus on … three impact channels: agriculture, road infrastructure, and hydropower generation while accounting explicitly for the … uncertainty in climate forecasts. We find that climate change is unlikely to substantially slow overall economic growth over the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010230922

Climate change and developing country interests : cases from the Zambezi River Basin

Arndt, Channing; Chinowsky, Paul; Fant, Charles; … - 2015

We consider the interplay of climate change impacts, global mitigation policies, and the interests of developing countries to 2050. Focusing on Malawi, Mozambique, and Zambia, we employ a structural approach to biophysical and economic modeling that incorporates climate uncertainty and allows...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390407

Quantifying the impacts of expanding social protection on efficiency and equity : evidence from a behavioural microsimulation model for Ghana

Osei, Robert Darko; Pirttilä, Jukka; Rattenhuber, Pia - 2017

A large informal sector is a challenge for developing countries building up social protection systems. Expanding social safety nets reduces poverty, but financing them can increase the tax burden, potentially reducing availability of formal sector jobs. This paper quantifies impacts on income...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011776419

The political economy dimensions of macroeconomic management of aid in Ghana

Osei, Robert Darko; Asem, Freda; Domfe, George - 2013

political economy in a way that engendered growth. Ghana provides a good case for an assessment of this question as it saw … significant aid inflows over the last two and a half decades and also recorded significant growth and poverty reduction. The paper … asserts that aid has impacted positively on growth, in part through the creation of an enabling environment for private sector …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191181

An uncertainty approach to modelling climate change risk in South Africa

Cullis, James; Alton, Theresa; Arndt, Channing; … - 2015

point decline in average annual real GDP growth rate. The net present value of the potential impact on GDP out to 2050 is …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010511214

Extractives for development : ten main messages

Addison, Tony; Roe, Alan - 2018

Countries face both challenges and opportunities in using their extractive industries to achieve more inclusive development - particularly in the developing world. Yet while a large national income can result from resource wealth, it can also be associated with acute social inequality and deep...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011983951

Dependence on extractive industries in lower-income countries : the statistical tendencies

Roe, Alan; Dodd, Samantha - 2017

This paper synthesizes statistical information evidencing the proposition that extractive industries are of great significance in many low- and middle-income developing economies. It examines the scale of the current dependence of low- and middle-income economies on both types of extractive...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636214

Extractive industries and development : lessons from international experience for Mozambique

Roe, Alan - 2018

In common with several other low-income African economies, in recent years Mozambique has seen a significant expansion of interest and investment in its long-established extractives industries. Huge new gas finds in particular have led to expectations that these industries will contribute very...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011873860

Mozambique : bust before boom : reflections on investment surges and new gas

Roe, Alan - 2018

This paper is a sequel to an earlier paper that looked in broad terms at many of the issues that Mozambique faces today in managing its new extractive resources. The paper first describes the investment surge that has already been prompted by new gas discoveries in Mozambique. It then summarizes...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011927737

Aid, growth and private capital flows to Ghana

Osei, Robert Darko - 2012

This study provides an analysis of the aid-private capital flows-growth nexus for Ghana. It is premised on the argument … how aid can be used as to reinforce the country's growth in a way that reduces its chances of being a victim of the 'oil …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009501870