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The global capital flows cycle : structural drivers and transmission channels
Habib, Maurizio Michael; Venditti, Fabrizio - 2019
In this paper, we study the effects of structural shocks that influence global risk - the main factor behind a "global capital flows cycle" - and how risk, in turn, is transmitted to capital flows. Our results show that not all the risk shocks driving the global financial cycle have the same...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009141
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EME financial conditions : which global shocks matter?
Lodge, David; Manu, Ana-Simona - 2019
This paper provides a quantitative assessment of the relative importance of global structural shocks for changes in financial conditions across a sample of emerging market economies. We disentangle four key drivers of global financial markets (oil supply shocks, global economic news shocks,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009181
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The implications of global and domestic credit cycles for emerging market economies : measures of finance-adjusted output gaps
Grintzalis, Ioannis; Lodge, David; Manu, Ana-Simona - 2017
We present estimates of finance-adjusted output gaps which incorporate the information on the domestic and global credit cycles for a sample of emerging market economies (EMEs). Following recent BIS research, we use a state-space representation of an HP filter augmented with a measure of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637326
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America First? : a US-centric view of global capital flows
McQuade, Peter; Schmitz, Martin - 2019
with those of the rest of the world. We analyse the relative importance of US, country-specific, and global variables as …. Global and national risk indicators perform better in explaining "rest of the world" flows. Moreover, we find that the … correlation between US and rest of the world flows peaks in periods of elevated uncertainty. We interpret our findings as evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975553
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Investment funds, monetary policy, and the global financial cycle
Kaufmann, Christoph - 2020
financial markets world-wide gained importance during the post-crisis "second phase of global liquidity" (Shin, 2013). The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012316994
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The global financial cycle and capital flow episodes : a wobbly link?
Scheubel, Beatrice; Stracca, Livio; Tille, Cédric - 2019
We add to the literature on the influence of the global financial cycle (GFC) and gyrations in capital flows. First, we build a new measure of the GFC based on a structural factor approach, which incorporates theoretical priors in its definition. This measure can also be decomposed in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012132563
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International capital flows at the security level : evidence from the ECB's Asset Purchase Programme
Bergant, Katharina; Fidora, Michael; Schmitz, Martin - 2020
We analyse euro area investors' portfolio rebalancing during the ECB's Asset Purchase Pro- gramme at the security level. Based on net transactions of domestic and foreign securities, we observe euro area sectors' capital ows into individual securities, cleaned from valuation effects. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197845
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Fiscal multipliers and foreign holdings of public debt
Broner, Fernando; Clancy, Daragh; Erce, Aitor; Martin, … - 2019
This paper explores a natural connection between fiscal multipliers and foreign holdings of public debt. Although fiscal expansions can raise domestic economic activity through various channels, they can also have crowding-out effects if the resources used to acquire public debt reduce domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011994640
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Leaning against the global financial cycle
Ferrero, Andrea; Habib, Maurizio Michael; Stracca, Livio; … - 2022
We study the role and the interaction of the quality of institutions and of counter-cyclical policies in leaning against the Global Financial Cycle (GFC) in Emerging Economies (EMEs). We show that heteroegeneity in institutional strength is a key determinant of the different effects of the GFC...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013488632
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Risk, monetary policy and asset prices in a global world
Bekaert, Geert; Hoerova, Marie; Xu, Nancy R. - 2023
We study how monetary policy and risk shocks affect asset prices in the US, the euro area, and Japan, differentiating between "traditional" monetary policy and communication events, each decomposed into "pure" and information shocks. Communication shocks from the US spill over to risk in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014483035