, or "uncertainty shocks", are an important model ingredient. First, they account for countercyclical movements in risk … changes in both risk-premia and expected future real rates, uncertainty shocks account for about 1/2 of the variance of long …

We address the question to what extent a central bank can de-risk its balance sheet by unconventional monetary policy … operations. To this end, we propose a novel risk measurement framework to empirically study the time-variation in central bank … generated beneficial risk spill-overs across monetary policy operations, causing overall risk to be nonlinear in exposures. Some …

Recent interest in "Risk Management"has highlighted the relevance of Bayesian analysis for robust monetary …

changes in global risk (VIX). We find that inertia (whether the bond behaved as a safe asset in the past) and good … on whether the change in global risk is driven by financial shocks rather than by US monetary policy. …

. For this purpose, it first extends the estimation of risk-neutral probability density functions up to tick frequency. In … triggering an adjustment process for interest rate expectations. - Risk-neutral probability density functions ; option …