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, subsequently, we didn't see the inflation they predicted. We show that these puzzles disappear in a Vector Autoregressive model … much of the inflation dynamics in the 2012-2014 euro area missing inflation episode. Consequently, economists and models … that excessively focused on the global nature of inflation were liable to miss the contribution of deflationary domestic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636259
The response of US inflation to the high levels of spare capacity during the Great Recession of 2007-09 was rather … inflation, and either the closing of this gap or non-linearities in the Phillips curve could lead to a sudden pick-up in … inflation. We revisit these issues by estimating Phillips curves over 1992Q1 to 2015Q1. Our main findings suggest that a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636747
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002555506
) with a special focus on persistence of real wages, wage and price inflation. The analysis is conducted within a structural … model, as well as the cointegrating properties of the estimated system. Overall, in the long run, wage and price inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003867061
Over the last two centuries, the cross-spectral coherence between either narrow or broad money growth and inflation at … other countries, thus implying that the fraction of inflation's long-run variation explained by long-run money growth has … cause, ceteris paribus, comparatively much larger decreases in the gain between money growth and inflation at ù=0 than in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832319
Empirical studies of the "shoe-leather" costs of inflation are typically computed using M1 as a measure of money. Yet … minimized for a positive but moderate value of the inflation rate, thereby justifying a deviation from the Friedman rule in … favour of the Fed's current policy. - Welfare costs of inflation ; flow of funds data ; US currency abroad …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009006654
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765206
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010195392
linked to the monetary policy regime. Before and after the "Great Inflation", nominal wages moved in the same direction as … the (required) adjustment of real wages, and in the opposite direction of the price response. During the "Great Inflation … increasing inflation volatility. Using a standard DSGE model, we show that these stylized facts, in particular the estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003993976
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001762883