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We study alternative monetary policy strategies in the presence of the lower bound on nominal interest rates and a low equilibrium real rate using an estimated DSGE model for the euro area. We demonstrate that simple feedback rules that implement inflation targeting result in a binding lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278603
We study the incidence and severity of lower-bound episodes and the efficacy of three types of state-dependent policies - forward guidance about the future path of interest rates, large-scale asset purchases and spending-based fiscal stimulus - in ameliorating the adverse consequences stemming...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012137689
. -- Disagreement ; survey expectations ; monetary policy ; forecasting … contribute to anchoring of expectations about nominal variables; its effects on disagreement about real variables are moderate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003963738
The secular decline in the equilibrium real interest rate observed over the past decades has materially limited the room for policy-rate reductions in recessions, and has led to a marked increase in the incidence of episodes where policy rates are likely to be at, or near, the effective lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012594057
After the switch to a floating exchange rate in 1973, the Swiss National Bank at first adopted annual monetary targets and in the 1990s shifted to a medium-term targeting strategy. In this paper I review the SNBu0092s internal policy analysis, an aspect of Swiss monetary targeting that has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635971
The business cycle is alive and well, and real variables respond to it more or less as they always did. Witness the Great Recession. In ation, in contrast, has gone quiescent. This paper studies the sources of this disconnect using VARs and an estimated DSGE model. It finds that the disconnect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241237
long, averaging window can attain most of the welfare gain from PLT. Under boundedly-rational expectations, if cognitive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012206238
monetary policy. Standard rational expectations models can have alternative steady states as well as non-unique laws of motion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635903
We analyse the effectiveness of optimal simple and implementable monetary and fiscal policy rules in stabilising economic activity, inflation and government debt in face of an occasionally binding lower bound on the nominal interest rate in a New Keynesian model. We show that, within the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013342236
How to conduct macro-prudential regulation? How to coordinate monetary policy and macro-prudential policy? To address these questions, I develop a continuous-time New Keynesian economy in which a financial intermediary sector is subject to a leverage constraint. Coordination between monetary and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011856525