Showing 1 - 10 of 574
This paper investigates the causal impact of oil price fluctuations on financial markets since January 2014. Following a heteroscedasticity-based event study approach, the paper instruments changes in oil prices by exogenous shocks in oil supply. It finds that oil price declines raise...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964339
This paper investigates the adverse effects of oil price volatility on economic activity and the extent to which … countries can hedge against such effects by using renewable energy. By considering the Realized Volatility of oil prices, rather …, and variance decompositions show that oil price volatility has more-adverse effects in all sample countries than oil price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973994
Previous sharp oil price declines have been accompanied by elevated ex post volatility. In contrast, volatility was … price declines. This finding is robust to nonparametric and GARCH measures of volatility. Further, the U.S. dollar … appreciation exerted a strong influence on volatility during the recent crash; in contrast, the impact of shocks on equity markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970942
Between 1999 and 2008, world oil prices more than quadrupled in real terms. For oil importers, vulnerability to oil price increases, defined as the share of gross domestic product spent on net oil imports, rose considerably. Considering medians, low-income countries had the highest vulnerability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974899
As crude oil prices reach new highs, there is renewed concern about how external shocks will affect growth and poverty in developing countries. This paper describes a macro-micro framework for examining the structural and distributional consequences of a significant external shock-an increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012746822
A global computable general equilibrium model is used to analyze the economic impacts of rising oil prices with endogenously determined availability of biofuels to mitigate those impacts. The negative effects on the global economy are comparable to those found in other studies, but the impacts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974209
system on volatility in gross domestic product per capita and consumption per capita growth. It also examines the impact of … volatility even after controlling for the quality of institutions and periods of financial crises. In large financial systems …, finance may not help individuals smooth consumption volatility. The threshold at which finance's effect may be volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968745
This paper examines how the ability to access long-term debt affects firm-level growth volatility. The analysis finds … growth volatility in countries with better-developed financial systems, as these firms may benefit from reduced refinancing … risk and therefore growth volatility associated with short-term financing. Increased availability of long-term finance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970254
This paper presents estimates of the effects that terms of trade volatility has on growth of real gross domestic … that: (i) in model specifications that do not include country fixed effects, terms of trade volatility has a significant … terms of trade volatility on economic growth is not significantly different from zero; (iii) robust to the inclusion of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970533
Economic development critically involves diversification and structural transformation?that is, the continued, dynamic reallocation of resources from less productive to more productive sectors and activities. This paper documents that, over an extended period, developing Asia has on average been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971321