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) than weak. For instance, the long-run multiplier can be as large as unity when the fiscal position is strong, while it can … business cycle on the fiscal multiplier. Third, the state-dependent effects of the fiscal position on multipliers is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968730
exogenous factors. The tax-cut multiplier varies between 0.2 and 0.5, while the spending multiplier ranges between 0.2 and 1 ….1; the spending multiplier tends to be larger than the tax-cut multiplier over the past two decades …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969405
decreases, the "true" long-run multiplier for bad times (and government spending going up) turns out to be 2.3 compared to 1 … fact that the multiplier for recessions and government spending going down (the "when-it-rains-it-pours" phenomenon) is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972931
-agent New Keynesian model, this paper shows analytically that the multiplier on targeted transfers to financially constrained … households is (i) larger than the purchase multiplier if the zero lower bound (ZLB) binds, and (ii) is more sensitive to the …, such as when the zero lower bound binds, the extra inflation from lower supply boosts the multiplier. This result also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948280
year later and 0.32 job two years later. The multiplier is modest during the 2002-2007 boom and is large during the Great …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951524
The fiscal position can affect fiscal multipliers through two channels. Through the Ricardian channel, households reduce consumption in anticipation of future fiscal adjustments when fiscal stimulus is implemented from a weak fiscal position. Through the interest rate channel, fiscal stimulus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889900
China's government economic stimulus package in 2008-09 appears to have worked well. It seems to have been about the right size, included a number of appropriate components, and was well timed. Its subnational component was designed to maximize the impact of the stimulus package on the economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974915
sample of 102 developing countries. The one-year government spending multiplier is reasonably-precisely estimated to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975179
) spending leads to a maximum output multiplier of around 2.7 during growth recessions, and around 2 in normal times. The returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975418
This paper proposes a novel method of isolating fluctuations in public spending that are likely to be uncorrelated with contemporaneous macroeconomic shocks and can be used to estimate government spending multipliers. The approach relies on two features unique to many low-income countries: (1)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976252