Introduction -- Discovery of the bond-stock earnings yield differential model -- Prediction of the 2007-2009 stock market crashes in the US, China and Iceland -- The high price-earnings stock market danger approach of Campbell and Shiller versus the BSEYD model -- Other prediction models for the...

Acknowledgments -- Beginning -- The early days in Adams and University of 4 Massachusetts in Amherst -- Reminiscences of the early days in Berkeley -- The start of a new department in Vancouver -- What is Japan doing right to get all that -- Money? : will they lose it? -- The bond-stock earnings...

Preface -- Books for which the problems are designed -- Section A: Arbitrage and asset pricing -- Appendix A: Fundamentals of asset pricing -- Section a exercises -- Section B: Utility theory -- Appendix B: Technical fundamentals for utility theory -- Section B: Exercises -- Stochastic dominance...

Intro -- Contents -- Acknowledgements -- Preface -- I Key Concepts -- 1. Arbitrage, Risk Arbitrage and the Favorite-longshot Bias -- The favorite-longshot bias -- Risk arbitrage in the US presidential election -- 2. The Bond Stock Earnings Yield Differential Model -- Predictive Ability of the...