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Empirical macromodels under test : a comparative simulation study of the employment effects of a revenue neutral cut in social security contributions

Buscher, Herbert S.; Buslei, Hermann; Göggelmann, Klaus; … - 1998 - Preliminary version

In the paper we simulate a revenue-neutral cut in the social security contribution rate using five different types of macro- / microeconomic models, namely two models based on time-series data where the labour market is modelled basically demand oriented, two models of the class of computable...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011442295

Quasi-Monte Carlo methods in stochastic simulations : an application to fiscal policy simulations using an aggregate disequilibrium model of the West German economy 1960-1994

Franz, Wolfgang; Göggelmann, Klaus; Schellhorn, Martin; … - 1998

Different stochastic simulation methods are used in order to check the robustness of the outcome of policy simulations … possible margin. Because of nonlinearities confidence intervals for the simulation results have to be obtained by means of … stochastic simulations. The main contribution of this paper consists in presenting the simulation results. The robustness of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441040

A macroeconomic model for the evaluation of labor market reforms

Krebs, Tom; Scheffel, Martin - 2010

We develop a tractable macroeconomic model with employment risk and labor market search in order evaluate the effects of labor market reform on unemployment, growth, and welfare. The model has a large number of risk-averse households who can invest in risk-free physical capital and risky human...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008651589

Investment and employment adjustment after unification : some results from a macroeconometric disequilibrium model

Radowski, Daniel; Smolny, Werner; Winker, Peter - 1999

The macroeconomic development in West Germany in the aftermath of unification was characterized by a boom period in 1990/1991, a deep recession in 1992/1993 and a slow recovery since then. In East Germany, in contrast, unification induced a breakdown of production and employment followed by a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011443447

Modeling German unification in a disequilibrium framework

Winker, Peter; Smolny, Werner; Radowski, Daniel - 1999

Unification fundamentally changed the terms of quantitative macroeconomic analysis for Germany. Two main areas concerned are data availability for the eastern part of Germany and structural changes within the behavioural equations after unification. Our paper presents results from the estimation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011443482

Einige Wirkungen von steuerlichen Umfinanzierungsmaßnahmen in einem makroökonometrischen Ungleichgewichtsmodell für die westdeutsche Volkswirtschaft

Franz, Wolfgang; Göggelmann, Klaus; Winker, Peter - 1997

Gegenstand dieses Beitrags ist eine quantitativ orientierte Diskussion einiger Wirkungen einer Umstrukturierung des Steuersystems anhand der neuesten und wesentlich erweiterten Version des Konstanzer aggregierten Ungleichgewichtsmodells für die westdeutsche Volkswirtschaft für den Zeitraum von...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011440908

Climate change policy and burden sharing in the European Union : applying alternative equity rules to a CGE-framework

Schmidt, Tobias F. N.; Koschel, Henrike - 1998

The objective of this paper is to present different equity rules that can be applied to the initial allocation of greenhouse gas entitlements and to analyse the potential impacts of these rules EU-wide as well as on the level of member states. The methodological framework used in the empirical...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441162

Specifying parameters in computable general equilibrium models using optimal fingerprint detection methods

Koesler, Simon - 2014

The specification of parameters is a crucial task in the development of economic models. The objective of this paper is to improve the standard parameter specification of computable general equilibrium (CGE) models. On that account, we illustrate how Optimal Fingerprint Detection Methods (OFDM)...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425505

Sources of German unemployment : evidence from a structural VAR model

Linzert, Tobias - 2001

This paper analyzes the dynamic effects of different macroeconomic shocks on unemployment in Germany. In a first step, a cointegration analysis of productivity, prices, real wages, employment, and the unemployment rate reveals two long run relationships, interpreted as a labor demand and a wage...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446670