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The paper questions the reasonability of using forecast error variance decompositions for assessing the role of different structural shocks in business cycle fluctuations. It is shown that the forecast error variance decomposition is related to a dubious definition of the business cycle. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003751347
The economic meltdown since 2008-9 has created disinflation, and even deflation in some countries in the Euro-area, in a period with large debt overhang, creating the condition for a continuing financial market stress in the Euro-area. As disinflation and deflation push up the real interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011452796
Virtually all empirical firm-level studies on the demand for labor do not include labor cost in the econometric specification. This is due to the fact that business and innovation survey data usually lack information on labor cost. This paper shows how reliable skill-specific and firm-specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011449280
Using linked employer-employee data, this study measures and decomposes the differences in the earnings distribution between male and female employees in Germany. I extend the traditional decomposition to disentangle the effect of human capital characteristics and the effect of firm...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003979148
Studies on the underlying mechanisms of social mobility commonly find that half of the intergenerational earnings persistence remains unexplained. Focusing on the phenomenon of overqualification, this study examines a transmission channel that might operate beyond the mechanisms previously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010468427
potential output overestimated) before the recent crisis. It is fair to say that the employed estimation techniques failed to … into account in conventional methods for the estimation of potential output and the output gap. Since both, potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010416360
This paper provides new estimates of a timevarying NAIRU for Germany taking account of the structural break caused by German unification based on the Kalman Filter and on a partially linear model as two alternatives. Estimating a standard Phillips curve, the sum of coefficients associated with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003607638
's final demand. Data is taken from the World Input-Output Database. The results suggest that rising final demand is the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010529489
which is based on a large-scale computable general equilibrium model for the world economy indicates that spillover effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444513
the world’s top ten emitters, in only three countries – China, Germany and Canada – the main driver of an improved …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010361319