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We test the menu cost model of Ball and Mankiw (1994, 1995) on data from the inflation and deflation periods in Japan … during both inflation and deflation, is strongly supported. The data are less clear on, but does not reject, the hypothesis … that the parameter on the standard deviation changes sign between inflation and deflation periods. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957306
During the last decade most western economies have experienced large and unexpected fluctuations in consumption and savings. The purpose of this paper is to provide additional insights into the individual household's consumption decision and thereby increase the knowledge of what governs these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005669545
For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey … models of forecasting inflation, the data are low frequency measures which appear anachronistic in the modern era of high … frequency and real-time data. I present a collection of 37 different measures of inflation expectations, including many …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647457
The classical definition of inflation refers to increasing the quantity of money in circulation. However, in everyday … language, inflation is seen rather through the effects of monetary expansion, i.e. increasing prices. Therefore, the term … “inflation” generates a semantic confusion, for which could be responsible the omnipresence of consumer price index (CPI) in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010965606
summarised as follows. (1) Historically, inflation persistence appears to have been the exception, rather than the rule, with … inflation estimated to have been highly persistent only during the period between the floating of the pound, in June 1972, and … the introduction of inflation targeting, in October 1992. Under inflation targeting, it exhibits some slight negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005343033
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706823
understanding of and expand research on this topic. Given the importance of the People’s Republic of China, Japan, and the United …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011096824
We examine whether the aggregate U.S. business cycle is driven mainly by geographical" shocks (affecting all sectors within a state), or by sectoral shocks (affecting the same sector in all" states). We find that, at the level of an individual sector in an individual state growth are driven by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005829318
This paper argues that analysis of seasonal fluctuations can shed light on the nature of business cycle fluctuations. The fundamental reason is that in many instances identifying restrictions about seasonal fluctuations are more believable than analogous restrictions about non-seasonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005829624
In the wake of the Financial Crisis and the subsequent Great Recession several commentators have suggested that the analysis of financial instability provided by various strands of heterodox economics got it "right" and that mainstream economics got it "wrong". In this paper two variants of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011156996