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Inflação, desemprego e choques cambiais : estimativas var para a economia brasileira
Schettini, Bernardo Patta; Gouvêa, Raphael Rocha; … - 2012
up in the following: i) the pass-through to the next month inflation is around 0.04 percentage points (p.p.) (0.48 p ….p. over the annualized inflation); ii) a shock on the unemployment rate lasts for 18 months; iii) a shock on the expectations … are carried to the next month inflation (0.58 p.p. over the annualized inflation); and iv) a shock on the inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009553780
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Inflação e nível de atividade no Brasil : estimativas via curva de Phillips
Brito, Leandro N. (contributor);  … - 2008
This paper estimates the Brazilian NAILO (Nonaccelerating Inflation Level of Output), obtains (Bayesian) probability … the Nailo and the acceleration of inflation. As explained in the text, the NAILO should not be confused with the country … inflation rate between 0.5 and 0.7 pp (percentage points). We also observed a very close relationship between changes in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003772458
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Inflação, desemprego e choques cambiais: Estimativas var para a economia brasileira
Schettini, Bernardo Patta; Gouvea, Raphael Rocha; … - 2012
up in the following: i) the pass-through to the next month inflation is around 0.04 percentage points (p.p.) (0.48 p ….p. over the annualized inflation); ii) a shock on the unemployment rate lasts for 18 months; iii) a shock on the expectations … are carried to the next month inflation (0.58 p.p. over the annualized inflation); and iv) a shock on the inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330807
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Inflação e nível de atividade no Brasil: Estimativas via curva de Phillips
Brito, Leandro N.; Lima, Elcyon C. R. - 2008
This paper estimates the Brazilian NAILO (Nonaccelerating Inflation Level of Output), obtains (Bayesian) probability … the Nailo and the acceleration of inflation. As explained in the text, the NAILO should not be confused with the country … inflation rate between 0.5 and 0.7 pp (percentage points). We also observed a very close relationship between changes in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330689
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Dinâmica da Inflação no Brasil e os Efeitos Globais
Holland, Márcio; Mori, Rogério - In: Economia 11 (2010) 3, pp. 649-670
Neste trabalho é discutida e testada a hipótese de que fatores globais têm alterado os parâmetros do processo inflacionário doméstico, ou ainda, é testado se o hiato do produto doméstico tem perdido importância relativa na definição da curva de Phillips, tornando-a mais achatada. Uma...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008725700
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Impact de la crise sur la croissance potentielle. Une approche par les modèles à composantes inobservables.
Chetouane, Mabrouk; Lemoine, Matthieu; De la Serve, … - Université Paris-Dauphine - 2011
Cet article vise à évaluer la croissance potentielle en France, en Allemagne et en zone euro au cours de la période postérieure à la crise de crédit de 2007-2008 jusqu’à l’horizon de prévision 2012. Une telle évaluation joue en effet un rôle central dans celle du déficit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009195335
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Existe bolha no mercado imobiliário brasileiro?
Mendonça, Mário Jorge; Sachsida, Adolfo - 2012
This article verifies the occurrence of a real estate bubble in the Brazilian economy. Overall, our results suggest the existence of a bubble in the real estate sector of the economy. The Austrian School of economics provides a solid explanation to this phenomenon, which are reinforced by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330557
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Identificando a demanda e a oferta de crédito bancário no Brasil
Mendonça, Mário Jorge; Sachsida, Adolfo - 2013
observe the expected signs into default, the cost of funding and inflation in credit supply function in both segments. Finally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330886
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Antecipação fiscal, não fundamentalidade e não causalidade no Brasil
Borelli, Luan; Vonbun, Christian; Góes, Geraldo Sandoval - 2021
So far, there are very few papers concerning the problems of non causality and non-fundamentalness in fiscal studies. This is even truer for Brazil. Non causality and non fundamentalness are econometric problems that are specially relevant in fiscal studies, as they are relate to fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012802817
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Há fundamentalidade nos modelos de VAR fiscal típicos para o Brasil?
Vonbun, Christian; Lima, Elcyon Caiado Rocha - 2020
The vector autoregressive and structural vector autoregressive (VAR/SVAR) models are the cornerstone of the contemporaneous empirical macroeconomic research, in particular for measuring the impact of fiscal policy shocks. They may be employed as atheoretical models, as well as a mean to support...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616454