In this article is studied hypothesis, that every period (time interval) before financial crisis is distinguished by co-movement of several variables. The study is based on monthly data (that means no quarterly data, like portfolio investment, were used). This hypothesis, tested with vector...

Our study contains application of Latent Semantic Indexing on financial crises prediction. Hypothesis to test was that equity markets are able to predict even sharp changes in monetary policy during a quarter ahead of such a change (which was searched during two quarters that followed). This...