This paper tests and compares five distinct methods for estimating the term structure. The Unsmoothed Fama-Bliss method is an iterative method by which the discount rate function is built up by computing the forward rate necessary to price successively longer maturity bonds. The Smoothed...

In a Markov decision problem with hidden state variables, a posterior distribution serves as a state variable and Bayes' law under an approximating model gives its law of motion. A decision maker expresses fear that his model is misspecified by surrounding it with a set of alternatives that are...

Dieses Werk gibt einen präzise formulierten Überblick über die traditionelle (deterministische) Makroökonomie neoklassischer und keynesianischer Provenienz und ist die erste Lehrbuchdarstellung der ";Neuen klassischen Makroökonomik";.