In this paper we price a precipitation option based on empirical weather data from Germanyusing different pricing methods, among them the burn analysis, index value simulation anddaily simulation. For that purpose we develop a daily precipitation model. Moreover, a decorrelationanalysis is...

Spätestens seit Erscheinen des viel zitierten Buches „Investment under Uncertainty“ von Dixitund Pindyck (1994) erfährt die neue Investitionstheorie (synonym: Realoptionstheorie) großeAufmerksamkeit. Neben theoretischen Weiterentwicklungen und Verfeinerungen wird dieRealoptionstheorie in...

Die vorliegende Arbeit behandelt geeignete Indikatoren zur Quantifizierung von Marktrisiken auf einem von Krisen und Deregulierung geprägten Agrarmarkt.

German hog production responds only very limited to price fluctuations in the pork market. The hog production concentrates in a few regions though it does not depend on special natural conditions. Furthermore, the production volume does hardly vary over time. Relatively high market risks, sunk...

The objective of this paper is to investigate the performance of different Value-at-Risk (VaR) models in the context of risk assessment in hog production. The paper starts with a description of traditional VaR models, i.e. Variance-Covariance-Method (VCM) and Historical Simulation (HS). We...

Quantification of Market Risk in Livestock Production Using Value-at-Risk and Extreme-Value-TheoryThe objective of this paper is to investigate the performance of different Value-at-Risk (VaR) models in the context of risk assessment in hog production. The paper starts with a description of...