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Zukunft gestalten mit amtlicher Statistik – Möglichkeiten aus der Perspektive des Datenproduzenten

Hagenkort-Rieger, Susanne - In: WISTA – Wirtschaft und Statistik 75 (2023) 6, pp. 42-55

The times when official statistics had a monopoly on statistical facts are over. Due to digitalisation, we are instead … shows how the producers of official statistics actually respond to the changing environment. Using illustrative examples, it … development of informed opinion and for times of crises. What framework is needed for official statistics with their unique role …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014452238

Data revisions to German national accounts: Are initial releases good nowcasts?

Strohsal, Till; Wolf, Elias - 2019

Data revisions to national accounts pose a serious challenge to policy decision making. Well-behaved revisions should be unbiased, small and unpredictable. This paper shows that revisions to German national accounts are biased, large and predictable. Moreover, using filtering techniques designed...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012036174

Analyse der Prognoseeigenschaften von ifo-Konjunkturindikatoren unter Echtzeitbedingungen / The Forecasting Performance of ifo-indicators Under Real-time Conditions

Vogt, Gerit - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 227 (2007) 1, pp. 87-101

Summary In recent years some papers have been published that deal with the forecasting performance of indicators for the German economy. The real-time aspect, however, was largely neglected. This article analyses the information content of some ifo indicators (the business climate index for the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014609134

Assessing the Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases for Now-/Forecasting GDP: Evidence for Switzerland

Siliverstovs, Boriss; Kholodilin, Konstantin A. - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 232 (2012) 4, pp. 429-444

Summary This study utilizes the dynamic factor model of Giannone et al. (2008) in order to make now-/ forecasts of GDP quarter-on-quarter growth rate in Switzerland. It also assesses the informational content of macroeconomic data releases for forecasting of the Swiss GDP. We find that the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014609407