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measure how the market price of uncertainty contributes to the short and long-run valuations of cash flows. I propose a state …-space with macroeconomic and aggregate financial variables that quantifies the (model) uncertainty premium in the term structure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255351
This paper theoretically investigates the effect of uncertainty about future investment on expected stock returns … explain the value premium. Second, we investigate how uncertainty about investment affects expected stock returns. Based on … the closed-form solution in our framework, we suggest that less uncertainty about investment induces lower expected stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148463
were found to be lower than the risk, making them not suitable for long-term investment, but suitable for traders and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014256869
This paper re-examines the empirical performance of the portfolio balance approach to currency returns. It considers the implications of two alternative specifications of preferences: one based on expected utility theory and the other on prospect theory. It also uses survey data to estimate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891242
, a much stronger impact on stock market prices comes from the pre-IPO news tone. Interestingly, the more uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046950
Confident investors trade more than less confident investors, but why? Prior research tests the ultimate relation between investor confidence and trading, but does not empirically examine the underlying mechanism that explains why confidence leads to trading. We complement the literature by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905195
This paper treats the risk-averse optimal portfolio problem with consumption in continuous time for a stochastic-jump-volatility, jump-diffusion (SJVJD) model of the underlying risky asset and the volatility. The new developments are the use of the SJVJD model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123110
We show in a simple framework that momentum trading can exist in equilibrium and momentum trading is profitable. Properties of the model fit the empirics well. First, the model captures in a parsimonious manner both short-term overreaction and long-term reversals. Second, it predicts that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089438
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014451397
with this hypothesis, we show that a one-standard-deviation increase in aggregate uncertainty amplifies the predictive … ability of sentiment for market returns by two to four times relative to when uncertainty is at its mean. We find similar … sensitive to sentiment and for anomaly returns is substantially larger in times of higher uncertainty. The results hold for both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216707